Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.722563 0.920799 1.143063 1.407948 1.712258 2.048275 2.444673
2025-08-10 0.443763 0.689626 1.000490 1.409574 1.921119 2.527758 3.289396
2025-08-17 0.257718 0.502213 0.853651 1.362643 2.049106 2.913183 4.052806
2025-08-24 0.169731 0.413291 0.807091 1.424988 2.308890 3.471560 5.059413
2025-08-31 0.102340 0.324521 0.733266 1.428315 2.479457 3.918188 5.943841
2025-09-07 0.069748 0.283008 0.721429 1.515970 2.768816 4.533659 7.072349
2025-09-14 0.044677 0.241145 0.695629 1.572655 3.011029 5.091162 8.141368
2025-09-21 0.026124 0.199763 0.657191 1.598272 3.202037 5.579838 9.129278
2025-09-28 0.012467 0.155276 0.596204 1.570951 3.301758 5.935317 9.938802
2025-10-05 0.006222 0.129723 0.569174 1.599921 3.490416 6.424797 10.947351
2025-10-12 0.002512 0.105881 0.536763 1.611270 3.646567 6.867470 11.897480
2025-10-19 0.000517 0.079242 0.483352 1.568879 3.703515 7.156659 12.629363
2025-10-26 0.000021 0.057881 0.434772 1.529782 3.765780 7.461684 13.403008
2025-11-02 NaN 0.045366 0.409631 1.539014 3.915243 7.909154 14.399776
2025-11-09 NaN 0.031216 0.365278 1.492925 3.956145 8.181963 15.140406
2025-11-16 NaN 0.027245 0.366421 1.561284 4.219186 8.823664 16.452727
2025-11-23 NaN 0.020413 0.344905 1.565858 4.356708 9.261558 17.462268
2025-11-30 NaN 0.018910 0.355562 1.659731 4.676009 10.009644 18.961520
2025-12-07 NaN 0.016126 0.354571 1.720329 4.930502 10.654659 20.312082
2025-12-14 NaN 0.012574 0.342836 1.747723 5.117853 11.190199 21.501278
2025-12-21 NaN 0.008193 0.314175 1.718741 5.185578 11.522553 22.378108
2025-12-28 NaN 0.006215 0.305441 1.749593 5.379719 12.075489 23.608937
2026-01-04 NaN 0.004333 0.291784 1.761682 5.533166 12.560078 24.737728